First grade, a lesson on estimation.
"I'm going to show you a cup with dice inside," I explained. "I won't show it for very long. So, you won't be able to count how many there actually are. Instead, I want you to decide how many it COULD be and how many it COULDN'T be. Got it?"*
*The purpose of this activity is to get kids to establish a zone of possible answers. Very often kids think of estimation as a sport in which the goal is to guess exactly the right answer. It isn't. This project asks kids to identify numbers that they think are reasonable. The zone can be quite large (when working independently later on, one partnership ruled out 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, and decided that anywhere from 6 up to 40 was perfectly reasonable) or quite small (another pair, in direct contrast, established a zone that went all the way from 10 to 11). Either way, you get a sense of kids' ability to think about large quantities and a sense of the confidence (or overconfidence) they bring to the table when it comes to mathematical thinking.
"Okay," I said when everyone had taken a look. "Would you say the cup is full?"
NO, they chorused. Some said it was mostly empty, others about half full, but all agreed that it absolutely was not full or even close.
"Could you see all the dice at the same time?" NO, again.
I had a number line of sorts on the board. I touched the number 1. "Could there be just one object in the cup?" I asked. NO. "How about 2?" NO. "Three?" NO, NO, NO. "Okay," I challenged, because after all explaining your thinking is an important part of mathematics, "you sound awfully sure. How can you be so sure?"
A boy raised his hand. "I could see if it was three," he said, holding up three fingers. "I couldn't tell how many there were, so I knew it wasn't more than three." He could tell just by looking, because he knew what three looked like. A couple of other children followed by explaining their own reasoning in remarkably similar terms. Great minds and all that.
One child remained with her hand up. "Yes?" I asked.
She smiled. "I knew it couldn't be just 1," she said, "because you said you had dice in the cup, and if there was just one then you would have to say you had a die in the cup."
True, too!
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